In addition to pure cost to manufacture, you have to plan for recalls, warranty work, assembly line/distribution mishaps, supplier failures, strikes, and lots of other oddball things.
Can you predict the price of steel in 14 months? No, no one can. But manufacturers have to account for it. Can you predict when you're $250,000 mold will crack? No, you can't Maybe it will never. But there is a backup sitting there, probably 2 or 3, and they may never get used.
What if the company that makes the rod bearings for your engines goes out of business? Is there enough of a margin in each unit you sold before that to cover the cost to buy the machinery and equipment to start making your own rod bearings?
Don't forget, government regulation. This is potentially a huge cost and huge liability. Then you have to factor in a profit. Smart ones, like Polaris, use that money to make better product, and buy suppliers. This maximizes profit and minimizes downtime.
Vehicle manufacturing and pricing is a fascinating concept. One thing in Polaris' favor is that they have yet to price us out of market. Everyone knows Yamaha invented this segment, but Polaris owns it. Resale values are high, they can barely keep new vehicles on the showroom, yet they are behind the scenes, making better versions. And here we are, 20,000+ of us, posting about it on the internet.